Assessing the plausibility of supercritical transmission for an emerging or re-emerging pathogen

Posted bymindscapeucsfPosted inPublicationsTags:,

Link to paper

Abstract
Rapid assessment of the transmission potential of an emerging or reemerging pathogen is a cornerstone of public health response. A simple approach is shown for using the number of disease introductions and secondary cases to determine whether the upper bound of the reproduction number exceeds the critical value of one.

Blumberg S, Lu P, Lietman TM, Porco TC. Assessing the plausibility of supercritical transmission for an emerging or re-emerging pathogen. medRxiv. Published online January 1, 2021:2020.02.08.20021311. doi:10.1101/2020.02.08.20021311

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

Gravatar
WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. ( Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. ( Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. ( Log Out /  Change )

Cancel

Connecting to %s