Link to paper AbstractCOVID-19 outbreaks in congregate settings remain a serious threat to the health of disproportionately affected populations such as people experiencing incarceration or homelessness, the elderly, and essential workers. An individual-based model accounting for individual infectiousness over time, staff work schedules, and testing and isolation schedules was developed to simulate community transmission ofContinue reading “Aligning staffing schedules with testing and isolation strategies reduces the risk of COVID-19 outbreaks in carceral and other congregate settings: A simulation study”
Category Archives: Publications
Assessing the plausibility of supercritical transmission for an emerging or re-emerging pathogen
Link to paper AbstractRapid assessment of the transmission potential of an emerging or reemerging pathogen is a cornerstone of public health response. A simple approach is shown for using the number of disease introductions and secondary cases to determine whether the upper bound of the reproduction number exceeds the critical value of one. Blumberg S,Continue reading “Assessing the plausibility of supercritical transmission for an emerging or re-emerging pathogen”
Mitigating outbreaks in congregate settings by decreasing the size of the susceptible population
Link to paper Seth Blumberg, Phoebe Lu, Christopher M. Hoover, James O. Lloyd-Smith, Ada T. Kwan, David Sears, Stefano M. Bertozzi, Lee Worden Abstract While many transmission models have been developed for community spread of respiratory pathogens, less attention has been given to modeling the interdependence of disease introduction and spread seen in congregate settings,Continue reading “Mitigating outbreaks in congregate settings by decreasing the size of the susceptible population”
Modeling transmission of pathogens in healthcare settings
Link to paper Stachel, Anna; Keegan, Lindsay T.; Blumberg, Seth; for the CDC MInD Healthcare Program Modeling transmission of pathogens in healthcare settings, Current Opinion in Infectious Diseases: August 2021 – Volume 34 – Issue 4 – p 333-338doi: 10.1097/QCO.0000000000000742 Abstract Mathematical, statistical, and computational models provide insight into the transmission mechanisms and optimal controlContinue reading “Modeling transmission of pathogens in healthcare settings”